Nigel Farage: BES Internet Panel Like/Dislike Ratings

Data source: British Election Study Internet Panel, Waves 1–30 (Feb 2014 – May 2025)
Question: "How much do you like or dislike each of the following party leaders?" (0 = strongly dislike, 10 = strongly like)
Fieldwork: YouGov online panel
Waves in dataset: W1, W2, W3, W4, W5, W6, W7, W8, W9, W10, W11, W15, W16, W17, W18, W19, W20, W21, W27, W28, W29, W30 (22 of 30 waves)
Waves absent: W12, W13, W14, W22, W23, W24, W25, W26

Methodological notes:

1. Summary Statistics

3.17
Mean score, Wave 1
(2014-02-28)
3.11
Mean score, Wave 30
(2025-05-12)
3.42
Highest mean
(Wave 8, 2016-05-30)
2.64
Lowest mean
(Wave 21, 2021-05-16)

2. Time-Series Figure

BES Farage like/dislike time series

Top panel: mean and median like/dislike score with ±1 SD band. Second panel: stacked share in dislike/neutral/like bands. Third panel: share giving extreme scores (0 or 10). Bottom panel: heatmap showing full score distribution at each wave. Dotted vertical lines mark key political events.

3. Key Findings

3.1 Consistently Below the Midpoint

Farage's mean like/dislike score has remained below 5.0 (the scale midpoint) in every single wave of the BES panel from 2014 to 2025. He is, on average, more disliked than liked by the British public.

3.2 Bimodal Distribution

The heatmap (bottom panel) reveals a distinctly bimodal distribution: the darkest cells cluster at score 0 (strongly dislike) and, to a lesser extent, at scores 7–10. The neutral middle (4–6) is comparatively sparse. This confirms Farage is a polarising figure who provokes strong reactions rather than indifference.

3.3 Peak During EU Referendum Campaign

The highest mean score was 3.42 in Wave 8 (2016-05-30; EU referendum campaign). Farage's ratings improve during periods of political salience when his base is mobilised. The 2019 Brexit Party European elections (Wave 16) also produced elevated scores.

3.4 Trough in Low-Profile Periods

The lowest mean score was 2.64 in Wave 21 (2021-05-16; Post-COVID; GB News era), consistent with the pattern seen in commercial polls that Farage's ratings suffer when he is out of front-line politics.

3.5 Rising Share of Score 0

The share of respondents giving a score of exactly 0 (strongly dislike) has trended upward over the decade, from around 31% in early waves to 44% in recent waves. This suggests increasing intensity of negative feeling, even as his "like" share has remained relatively stable.

3.6 2024 General Election

Waves 27–30 capture Farage's return as Reform UK leader and his election as MP for Clacton. His mean score in Wave 30 (May 2025) was 3.11, with 22.9% rating him 7–10 and 60.4% rating him 0–3.

4. Full Data Table

WaveFieldwork MidN MeanMedian SD Dis%
(0–3)
Neu%
(4–6)
Like%
(7–10)
Score 0% Score 10% Context
W1 2014-02-28 27,521 3.17 3.0 3.02 57.8% 25.3% 16.9% 31.0% 3.7% Pre-2014 European elections
W2 2014-06-08 29,471 3.30 3.0 3.26 56.6% 22.5% 21.0% 34.4% 5.4% 2014 European election campaign
W3 2014-10-03 26,433 3.18 2.0 3.25 58.4% 21.1% 20.5% 36.3% 4.8% Post-European elections; UKIP surge
W4 2015-03-17 30,065 2.97 2.0 3.16 61.1% 20.8% 18.0% 38.3% 4.2% Pre-2015 general election campaign
W5 2015-04-18 29,776 3.08 2.0 3.26 59.7% 21.0% 19.3% 38.4% 5.1% 2015 general election campaign
W6 2015-05-17 29,238 3.22 2.0 3.31 58.3% 20.6% 21.1% 36.1% 5.4% Post-2015 general election
W7 2016-04-24 29,099 3.25 2.0 3.24 57.1% 22.3% 20.6% 34.7% 5.0% Pre-EU referendum
W8 2016-05-30 31,765 3.42 3.0 3.36 55.5% 21.1% 23.4% 34.7% 6.1% EU referendum campaign
W9 2016-06-29 28,800 2.94 1.0 3.39 62.0% 17.3% 20.7% 44.7% 5.8% Post-EU referendum (Brexit vote)
W10 2016-12-03 28,211 2.98 1.0 3.39 62.2% 17.2% 20.6% 42.9% 6.4% Post-referendum; Article 50 debate
W11 2017-04-28 29,494 3.17 2.0 3.48 59.5% 17.9% 22.5% 41.7% 7.6% Pre-2017 general election
W15 2019-03-20 29,022 3.15 2.0 3.48 60.2% 17.6% 22.2% 41.1% 7.7% Brexit deadlock; Brexit Party forming
W16 2019-06-05 35,568 3.30 2.0 3.66 58.7% 16.1% 25.3% 43.4% 9.8% Post-2019 European elections
W17 2019-11-07 32,341 2.96 1.0 3.36 61.4% 18.4% 20.1% 43.8% 5.6% Pre-2019 general election
W18 2019-11-27 36,148 3.10 2.0 3.42 59.3% 19.3% 21.4% 43.1% 5.9% 2019 GE campaign
W19 2019-12-18 30,805 2.96 1.0 3.38 61.2% 18.4% 20.4% 44.6% 5.7% Post-2019 general election
W20 2020-06-12 29,778 2.82 1.0 3.31 63.5% 17.7% 18.8% 45.7% 5.3% COVID-19 pandemic; Farage low profile
W21 2021-05-16 28,342 2.64 1.0 3.21 65.7% 17.4% 16.8% 47.2% 4.4% Post-COVID; GB News era
W27 2024-05-31 9,924 3.10 2.0 3.50 60.2% 17.9% 21.9% 44.0% 8.1% 2024 GE called; Farage returns
W28 2024-06-22 30,473 3.05 1.0 3.48 61.2% 16.9% 21.8% 44.3% 7.2% 2024 GE campaign; Farage stands
W29 2024-07-12 29,870 2.86 1.0 3.42 63.6% 16.1% 20.3% 46.6% 6.4% Post-2024 GE; Farage elected (Clacton)
W30 2025-05-12 29,319 3.11 2.0 3.50 60.4% 16.7% 22.9% 44.0% 6.9% Reform UK rising; post-election

5. Data & Methods

5.1 Source

British Election Study Internet Panel, 2014–2025. Principal Investigators: Ed Fieldhouse, Jane Green, Geoffrey Evans, Jonathan Mellon, Chris Prosser, Jack Bailey. Funded by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC). Fieldwork by YouGov.

5.2 Question Wording

"How much do you like or dislike each of the following party leaders? Please rate each on a scale from 0 to 10 where 0 means strongly dislike and 10 means strongly like."

5.3 Missing Data Treatment

Responses coded 9999 (34,001 total) are treated as missing per BES data conventions and excluded from all calculations. NA values are also excluded. The remaining valid responses per wave range from 9,924 to 36,148.

5.4 Missing Waves

The dataset does not include Farage ratings for Waves 12, 13, 14, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26. In some of these waves the like/dislike question may not have been asked for Farage, or the data was not included in this extract. The gap between Wave 21 (May 2021) and Wave 27 (May 2024) represents a three-year break in coverage.

5.5 Panel Attrition

The BES panel suffers from cumulative attrition. Wave 16 included a panel refresh. Attrition may introduce survivorship bias. BES provides survey weights (not applied here) to mitigate this.

Generated 12 Feb 2026 from BES Internet Panel data (Farage.csv). Unweighted results.
Citation: Fieldhouse, E., Green, J., Evans, G., Mellon, J., Prosser, C., Bailey, J. (2025). British Election Study Internet Panel Waves 1–30.